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Market Open: ASX set to slip as investors weigh RBA rate hike

ASX 200, ASX News, Market Summary
04 November 2026 09:14 (AEDT)
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The Market Link

Australian shares are expected to open lower on Wednesday, with SPI futures pointing to a softer start as investors weigh the impact of the Reserve Bank’s latest rate increase against a mixed session on Wall Street.

The S&P/ASX 200 added 30.3 points, or 0.34%, to close at 8,886.8 on Tuesday, recovering from its opening level of 8,856.5 despite the RBA lifting the cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.85%.

The advance was uneven, with seven of the 11 sectors finishing higher. Real Estate led the gains, climbing 2.88%, followed by Consumer Discretionary (+1.87%) and Telecommunications (+1.72%). Energy was the weakest performer, tumbling 3.45%, while Health Care and Materials also finished lower.

What to watch today

Wall Street’s technology-led recovery

US markets delivered a mixed performance overnight, with the Nasdaq gaining 0.8% to 25,372.01 and the S&P 500 adding 0.4% to 7,568.92. The Dow Jones slipped 0.4% to 51,786.72.

Technology and AI-related stocks provided support, led by gains in Nvidia and Broadcom, although the broader market remained less convincing, with most S&P 500 stocks finishing lower. Apple fell after warning that higher memory-chip costs could weigh on profitability.

Investors are also watching the US midterm elections, with the outcome potentially influencing the outlook for corporate regulation, technology policy and government spending.

RBA decision leaves investors weighing what comes next

The RBA’s fifth rate increase this year takes the official cash rate to its highest level since November 2008.

The decision was split six to three, with three board members favouring no change. The accompanying statement also suggested the Board may be approaching a more cautious position on additional increases.

Investors will be watching how the higher borrowing costs affect interest-rate-sensitive sectors, particularly property, retail and financial stocks.

Read the article here.

On the calendar

The ABS releases its September Monthly Household Spending Indicator and Selected Living Cost Indexes at 11.30am AEDT.

The figures will provide another look at household spending and the cost-of-living pressures facing Australian consumers following the latest RBA increase.

Local market news

The ASX’s ability to hold Tuesday’s gains will be a key test, particularly across property and consumer stocks following the rate decision.

Energy stocks will also remain in focus after the sector’s sharp decline, with oil prices continuing to retreat. Resources investors will be watching gold and industrial metals for signs of support.

ASX market news

Gold Mountain (ASX: GMN) has obtained high-grade tungsten results at the Malhada do Angico mine;

Black Canyon (ASX: BCA) has identified iron and manganese with Wandanya extension drill results;

Koonenberry Gold (ASX: KNB) has advanced multiple exploration programs across portfolio;

High-Tech Metals (ASX: HTM) is advancing drilling for rapid resource growth at Damsel gold deposit; and

Buxton Resources (ASX: BUX) has secured a rig for maiden Wolverine drill program.

Buck and ore

CURRENCIES & COMMODITIES
AUD / USD
US$0.696
Australian dollar
IRON ORE
US$91.03
▼ 0.36% · Singapore
BRENT CRUDE
US$104.40
▼ 0.35% · per barrel
GOLD
US$3,921.99
Per troy ounce
US NATURAL GAS
US$2.9046
▲ 1.70% · per MMBtu
MARKET SNAPSHOT
Mixed commodity signals
Oil and iron ore lower
Prices in US dollars. Figures as supplied; market snapshot.

Digital currencies

Bitcoin was trading around US$77,600, up approximately 1.2% on the latest available market snapshot, as cryptocurrency markets attempted to stabilise following recent volatility.

Ethereum was trading around US$2,292, with digital assets continuing to attract attention amid shifting risk sentiment across global markets.

HOTCOPPER COMMUNITY
The question investors are debating
Has the RBA’s latest rate hike changed the outlook for Australian shares?
With interest rates now at 4.85%, investors are weighing the impact on property, banks, retailers and the broader market. Is Tuesday’s market recovery a sign of resilience, or is the pressure from higher borrowing costs still to come?
■  WHAT THE FORUM WAS WATCHING YESTERDAY
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That’s HotCopper’s Market Open, I’m Colin Sandell-Hay – happy trading.

HOTCOPPER COMMUNITY
The Rate Rise: What’s next?
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