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World Bank forecasts Ukraine GDP to drop 45pc after Russian invasion

Economy
11 April 2022 15:39 (AEST)

A building destroyed in the Ukraine capital Kyiv by Russian shelling. Source: Reuters

The World Bank has forecast Ukraine’s gross domestic product (GDP) will likely plummet 45.1 per cent this year as the country’s economic activity is savaged by Russia’s invasion.

The estimate excludes the destruction of infrastructure, which will likely damage future economic output, and does not take into account the outflow of refugees to other countries.

More than half of Ukraine’s businesses are expected to be closed, with others operating at significantly less capacity.

The Black Sea has been cut off from shipping, which has affected 90 per cent of grain exports and half of its total exports.

Russia’s GDP is also forecast to slump – by 11.2 per cent – on the back of sanctions introduced from Western countries.

The effects also flow on to the Eastern European region, according to the World Bank.

Ukraine, Belarus and Moldova were predicted to suffer for a combined 30.7 per cent GDP contraction.

An influx of refugees and higher commodity prices were expected to drive down GDP growth in the Central Europe region to 3.5 per cent.

The World Bank has made calls for financial support for Ukraine in order to keep its economy going.

It has already gathered $923 million in loans and grants for the country and is preparing an additional support package worth $2 billion.

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